A gold-plated submachine gun and $20 billion: How Pakistan can get sucked into the Saudi-Iran rivalry

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A gold-plated submachine gun and $20 billion: How Pakistan can get sucked into the Saudi-Iran rivalry
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Pakistan may become the latest arena for Saudi Arabia and Iran's rivalry as it accepts billions of dollars in aid and investment from Riyadh.

div > div.group > p:first-child"> Perhaps one of the most visually memorable moments of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's red carpet tour of Asia last month was the gifting to him, by Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan, of a gold-plated submachine gun. Pakistan, the crown prince's first stop on his tour that also included India and China, announced a national holiday in honor of his visit, calling Saudi Arabia"a friend in need.

"Mohammed bin Salman has this strategic view that you've got to pressure Iran. And with Pakistan, he'd love to be able to pressure Iran from two sides," Gregory Gause, head of the International Affairs Department at Texas A&M University, told CNBC. And the Iranians aren't taking it lightly — Tehran has long accused Saudi Arabia of fomenting unrest in its border area with Pakistan, which is home to Iranian Sunni anti-regime militants who have launched numerous attacks on Iranian military personnel. The Saudis deny the accusations.

Pakistan's military is ranked as the world's 17th strongest, according to military analysis website GlobalFirepower.com, in between Israel and North Korea. Saudi Arabia's is ranked 25th. There are plenty of ways this could backfire on the Pakistanis. For one, Iran, which is Shia, could foment sectarian unrest within Pakistan's 20 percent Shia population, the second-largest of any country in the world. Thousands of Pakistanis have been killed in sectarian violence in the last decade.

Pakistan"to some extent already has" become a proxy theater for Iran and Saudi Arabia, Gause said, but he added that this was at a relatively low level — nothing like what we've seen in Syria, Yemen or Iraq, for instance. That's because Pakistan is a relatively stronger state that hasn't been crippled by war.

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