These figures are significantly higher than the death toll of 38,345 announced on Thursday.
GAZA - According to a "letter" published on the website of the British medical journal The Lancet, "186,000 or even more deaths could be attributable to the current conflict in Gaza". This is a significantly higher death toll than the 38,345 announced by the Hamas-run territory’s health ministry on Thursday. FRANCE 24 takes a look at how the authors arrived at this estimate and whether their figure is credible.
These figures are significantly higher than the death toll of 38,345 announced on Thursday July 11 by the Gaza Health Ministry, which has been publishing daily figures since the start of Israel’s offensive against Hamas in the besieged Palestinian territory, in response to the Islamist militant group’s October 7 attack on Israeli soil.
To arrive at their estimate of "four indirect deaths per one direct death", the co-authors relied on a report published by the Secretariat of the Geneva Declaration on Armed Violence and Development in 2008. The document states that in areas where there is armed conflict "studies show that between three and 15 times as many people die indirectly for every person who dies violently".
For instance, Francesca Albanese, the United Nations Special Rapporteur on the Palestinian Territories, shared it on her X account as evidence of what she described as "9 months of genocide" taking place in Gaza.Some NGOs active in the Palestinian territory certainly feel that the estimate put forward in this letter is credible.
Corty asserts that the Gaza Health Ministry's figures take into account the identified dead, "without taking into account all the dead left under the rubble of the bombardments, or the indirect victims who died because of a lack of care or access to care, or from being transported to a health centre".
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